December 2025 Market Report presented by Ashlee Donaldson
The December 2025 Market Report is here to keep you connected to market updates, featured homes, and everything happening in and around the Phoenix Valley each month. Take a look around our website while you’re here – you’ll find our featured properties, learn more about our team, and discover resources designed to help with your next move.
Happy Holiday's from Ashlee & Associates!
As the year comes to a close, I wanted to take a moment to wish you and your loved ones a very Happy Holiday Season and a wonderful start to the New Year.
Cheers to a fabulous and successful 2026!
Warmly,
Ashlee Donaldson
What Home Buyers Should Know:
Incomes Up 33% in Maricopa County Since 2020
Journalists reporting on housing affordability are frequently quoting sources that reference median household income. Household income can be broken down into two categories, family and nonfamily households. The US Census defines a family household as two or more people living in a home and related by blood or marriage.
Nonfamily households are all others, including non-related people living as roommates or people living alone. Nonfamily household income is typically much lower than family income and is more suited for measuring the affordability of rental housing. Family household income is more suited for measuring the affordability of purchasing a home.
Household Incomes in Maricopa County:
How This Impacts Lending
Additionally, the lending industry considers 28% of gross income an affordable monthly payment for mortgage or rent. For a family household that’s roughly a $2,500-$3,000 payment.
At a mortgage rate holding steady around 6.25%, that payment supports homes priced between $350,000 and $500,000 in Maricopa County. That budget will support roughly a 1,500-1,800 square foot single family home, which will trend in the mid-$300s in the West Valley, and the mid-$400s in the Southeast Valley.
Incomes in Maricopa County Are Not Stagnant
To recap, incomes are not stagnant in Maricopa County and have been rising at a significant pace since 2020. It’s home values that have been stagnant for 3 years waiting for family incomes to catch up and mortgage rates to decline. Inventory under $500K accounts for roughly 57% of all inventory for sale and is up 16% from last year. With rates holding steady in the low 6% range for the last 4 months, demand and optimism is up for the onset of 2026.
What Home Sellers Should Know:
Optimism Emerges for 2026 Home Sales
The Big Question….
Buyer vs. Seller Markets
What To Expect…
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